Most-cited articles · 2020

The 100 most-cited articles in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020

Ranked by OpenAlex citation count on 29 October 2026, out of 4,103 eligible articles Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences published in 2020. Ranks are frozen; this page will not change. Number one, with 3,835 citations: RepeatModeler2 for automated genomic discovery of transposable element families.

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2026-10-29

The highest ranked articles from 2020 reflect the priorities of that year. Work on SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 dominates the list, covering cell entry, treatment, transmission, and economic effects. The single most cited paper is "RepeatModeler2 for automated genomic discovery of transposable element families" by Flynn, Hubley, Goubert and colleagues, with 3,835 citations. Other prominent themes include protein structure prediction and the impacts of lockdowns on air pollution and mobility.

A reader can use this list to see which 2020 publications in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences attracted the most citations, as counted by OpenAlex. The ranking covers 4,103 eligible articles and shows the topics and individual papers that drew the greatest attention in the years that followed.

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  1. 1
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    RepeatModeler2 for automated genomic discovery of transposable element families

    Jullien M. Flynn, Robert M. Hubley, Clément Goubert, Jeb R. Rosen, Andrew G. Clark and 2 more

    3,835 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1921046117OpenAlex

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    Abstract The accelerating pace of genome sequencing throughout the tree of life is driving the need for improved unsupervised annotation of genome components such as transposable elements (TEs). Because the types and sequences of TEs are highly variable across species, automated TE discovery and annotation are challenging and time-consuming tasks. A critical first step is the de novo identification and accurate compilation of sequence models representing all the unique TE families dispersed in the genome. Here we introduce RepeatModeler2, a new pipeline that greatly facilitates this process. This new program brings substantial improvements over the original version of RepeatModeler, one of the most widely used tools for TE discovery. In particular, this version incorporates a module for structural discovery of complete LTR retroelements, which are widespread in eukaryotic genomes but recalcitrant to automated identification because of their size and sequence complexity. We benchmarked RepeatModeler2 on three model species with diverse TE landscapes and high-quality, manually curated…

  2. 2
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    Cell entry mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2

    Jian Shang, Yushun Wan, Chuming Luo, Gang Ye, Qibin Geng and 2 more

    3,139 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2003138117OpenAlex

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    A novel severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)-like coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) is causing the global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Understanding how SARS-CoV-2 enters human cells is a high priority for deciphering its mystery and curbing its spread. A virus surface spike protein mediates SARS-CoV-2 entry into cells. To fulfill its function, SARS-CoV-2 spike binds to its receptor human ACE2 (hACE2) through its receptor-binding domain (RBD) and is proteolytically activated by human proteases. Here we investigated receptor binding and protease activation of SARS-CoV-2 spike using biochemical and pseudovirus entry assays. Our findings have identified key cell entry mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2. First, SARS-CoV-2 RBD has higher hACE2 binding affinity than SARS-CoV RBD, supporting efficient cell entry. Second, paradoxically, the hACE2 binding affinity of the entire SARS-CoV-2 spike is comparable to or lower than that of SARS-CoV spike, suggesting that SARS-CoV-2 RBD, albeit more potent, is less exposed than SARS-CoV RBD. Third, unlike SARS-CoV, cell entry of SARS-CoV-2 is…

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    Effective treatment of severe COVID-19 patients with tocilizumab

    Xiaoling Xu, Mingfeng Han, Tiantian Li, Wei Sun, Dongsheng Wang and 8 more

    2,646 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2005615117OpenAlex

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    After analyzing the immune characteristics of patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), we have identified that pathogenic T cells and inflammatory monocytes with large amount of interleukin 6 secreting may incite the inflammatory storm, which may potentially be curbed through monoclonal antibody that targets the IL-6 pathways. Here, we aimed to assess the efficacy of tocilizumab in severe patients with COVID-19 and seek a therapeutic strategy. The patients diagnosed as severe or critical COVID-19 in The First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China (Anhui Provincial Hospital) and Anhui Fuyang Second People's Hospital were given tocilizumab in addition to routine therapy between 5 and 14 February 2020. The changes of clinical manifestations, computerized tomography (CT) scan image, and laboratory examinations were retrospectively analyzed. Fever returned to normal on the first day, and other symptoms improved remarkably within a few days. Within 5 d after tocilizumab, 15 of the 20 patients (75.0%) had lowered their oxygen intake, and 1…

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    Effectiveness of convalescent plasma therapy in severe COVID-19 patients

    Kai Duan, Bende Liu, Cesheng Li, Huajun Zhang, Ting Yu and 25 more

    1,962 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2004168117OpenAlex

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    Abstract Currently, there are no approved specific antiviral agents for 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In this study, ten severe patients confirmed by real-time viral RNA test were enrolled prospectively. One dose of 200 mL convalescent plasma (CP) derived from recently recovered donors with the neutralizing antibody titers above 1:640 was transfused to the patients as an addition to maximal supportive care and antiviral agents. The primary endpoint was the safety of CP transfusion. The second endpoints were the improvement of clinical symptoms and laboratory parameters within 3 days after CP transfusion. The median time from onset of illness to CP transfusion was 16.5 days. After CP transfusion, the level of neutralizing antibody increased rapidly up to 1:640 in five cases, while that of the other four cases maintained at a high level (1:640). The clinical symptoms were significantly improved along with increase of oxyhemoglobin saturation within 3 days. Several parameters tended to improve as compared to pre-transfusion, including increased lymphocyte counts (0.65×10 9…

  5. 5
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    The impact of COVID-19 on small business outcomes and expectations

    Alexander Wickman Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Zoë Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca and 1 more

    1,611 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2006991117OpenAlex

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    To explore the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on small businesses, we conducted a survey of more than 5,800 small businesses between March 28 and April 4, 2020. Several themes emerged. First, mass layoffs and closures had already occurred-just a few weeks into the crisis. Second, the risk of closure was negatively associated with the expected length of the crisis. Moreover, businesses had widely varying beliefs about the likely duration of COVID-related disruptions. Third, many small businesses are financially fragile: The median business with more than $10,000 in monthly expenses had only about 2 wk of cash on hand at the time of the survey. Fourth, the majority of businesses planned to seek funding through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act. However, many anticipated problems with accessing the program, such as bureaucratic hassles and difficulties establishing eligibility. Using experimental variation, we also assess take-up rates and business resilience effects for loans relative to grants-based programs.

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    Land use and climate change impacts on global soil erosion by water (2015-2070)

    Pasquale Borrelli, David A. Robinson, Panos Panagos, Emanuele Lugato, Jae E. Yang and 4 more

    1,486 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2001403117OpenAlex

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    , with current conservation agriculture (CA) practices estimated to reduce this by ∼5%. Our future scenarios suggest that socioeconomic developments impacting land use will either decrease (SSP1-RCP2.6-10%) or increase (SSP2-RCP4.5 +2%, SSP5-RCP8.5 +10%) water erosion by 2070. Climate projections, for all global dynamics scenarios, indicate a trend, moving toward a more vigorous hydrological cycle, which could increase global water erosion (+30 to +66%). Accepting some degrees of uncertainty, our findings provide insights into how possible future socioeconomic development will affect soil erosion by water using a globally consistent approach. This preliminary evidence seeks to inform efforts such as those of the United Nations to assess global soil erosion and inform decision makers developing national strategies for soil conservation.

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    Improved protein structure prediction using predicted interresidue orientations

    Jianyi Yang, Ivan V. Anishchenko, Hahnbeom Park, Zhenling Peng, Sergey Ovchinnikov and 1 more

    1,418 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1914677117OpenAlex

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    The prediction of interresidue contacts and distances from coevolutionary data using deep learning has considerably advanced protein structure prediction. Here, we build on these advances by developing a deep residual network for predicting interresidue orientations, in addition to distances, and a Rosetta-constrained energy-minimization protocol for rapidly and accurately generating structure models guided by these restraints. In benchmark tests on 13th Community-Wide Experiment on the Critical Assessment of Techniques for Protein Structure Prediction (CASP13)- and Continuous Automated Model Evaluation (CAMEO)-derived sets, the method outperforms all previously described structure-prediction methods. Although trained entirely on native proteins, the network consistently assigns higher probability to de novo-designed proteins, identifying the key fold-determining residues and providing an independent quantitative measure of the "ideality" of a protein structure. The method promises to be useful for a broad range of protein structure prediction and design problems.

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    Enhanced isolation of SARS-CoV-2 by TMPRSS2-expressing cells

    Shutoku Matsuyama, Naganori Nao, Kazuya Shirato, Miyuki Kawase, Shinji Saito and 13 more

    1,413 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2002589117OpenAlex

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    A novel betacoronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which caused a large respiratory outbreak in Wuhan, China in December 2019, is currently spreading across many countries globally. Here, we show that a TMPRSS2-expressing VeroE6 cell line is highly susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection, making it useful for isolating and propagating SARS-CoV-2. Our results reveal that, in common with SARS- and Middle East respiratory syndrome-CoV, SARS-CoV-2 infection is enhanced by TMPRSS2.

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    Active learning narrows achievement gaps for underrepresented students in undergraduate science, technology, engineering, and math

    Elli J. Theobald, Mariah J. Hill, Elisa T. Tran, Sweta Agrawal, E. Nicole Arroyo and 25 more

    1,383 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1916903117OpenAlex

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    We tested the hypothesis that underrepresented students in active-learning classrooms experience narrower achievement gaps than underrepresented students in traditional lecturing classrooms, averaged across all science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) fields and courses. We conducted a comprehensive search for both published and unpublished studies that compared the performance of underrepresented students to their overrepresented classmates in active-learning and traditional-lecturing treatments. This search resulted in data on student examination scores from 15 studies (9,238 total students) and data on student failure rates from 26 studies (44,606 total students). Bayesian regression analyses showed that on average, active learning reduced achievement gaps in examination scores by 33% and narrowed gaps in passing rates by 45%. The reported proportion of time that students spend on in-class activities was important, as only classes that implemented high-intensity active learning narrowed achievement gaps. Sensitivity analyses showed that the conclusions are robust…

  10. 10
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    Identifying airborne transmission as the dominant route for the spread of COVID-19

    Renyi Zhang, Yixin Li, Annie Li Zhang, Yuan Wang, Mario Jose Molina

    1,236 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2009637117OpenAlex

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    Various mitigation measures have been implemented to fight the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, including widely adopted social distancing and mandated face covering. However, assessing the effectiveness of those intervention practices hinges on the understanding of virus transmission, which remains uncertain. Here we show that airborne transmission is highly virulent and represents the dominant route to spread the disease. By analyzing the trend and mitigation measures in Wuhan, China, Italy, and New York City, from January 23 to May 9, 2020, we illustrate that the impacts of mitigation measures are discernable from the trends of the pandemic. Our analysis reveals that the difference with and without mandated face covering represents the determinant in shaping the pandemic trends in the three epicenters. This protective measure alone significantly reduced the number of infections, that is, by over 78,000 in Italy from April 6 to May 9 and over 66,000 in New York City from April 17 to May 9. Other mitigation measures, such as social distancing implemented in the United…

  11. 11
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    COVID-19 lockdowns cause global air pollution declines

    Zander Samuel Venter, Kristin Aunan, Sourangsu Chowdhury, Jos Lelieveld

    1,083 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2006853117OpenAlex

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    Abstract The lockdown response to COVID-19 has caused an unprecedented reduction in global economic activity. We test the hypothesis that this has reduced tropospheric and ground-level air pollution concentrations using satellite data and a network of >10,000 air quality stations. After accounting for the effects of meteorological variability, we find remarkable declines in ground-level nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 : −29 % with 95% confidence interval −44% to −13%), ozone (O 3 : −11%; −20% to −2%) and fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 : −9%; −28% to 10%) during the first two weeks of lockdown (n = 27 countries). These results are largely mirrored by satellite measures of the troposphere although long-distance transport of PM 2.5 resulted in more heterogeneous changes relative to NO 2 . Pollutant anomalies were related to short-term health outcomes using empirical exposure-response functions. We estimate that there was a net total of 7400 (340 to 14600) premature deaths and 6600 (4900 to 7900) pediatric asthma cases avoided during two weeks post-lockdown. In China and India alone, the PM 2.5…

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    The airborne lifetime of small speech droplets and their potential importance in SARS-CoV-2 transmission

    Valentyn Stadnytskyi, Christina E. Bax, Ad Bax, Philip Anfinrud

    1,080 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2006874117OpenAlex

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    Speech droplets generated by asymptomatic carriers of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are increasingly considered to be a likely mode of disease transmission. Highly sensitive laser light scattering observations have revealed that loud speech can emit thousands of oral fluid droplets per second. In a closed, stagnant air environment, they disappear from the window of view with time constants in the range of 8 to 14 min, which corresponds to droplet nuclei of ca. 4 μm diameter, or 12- to 21-μm droplets prior to dehydration. These observations confirm that there is a substantial probability that normal speaking causes airborne virus transmission in confined environments.

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    Spread and dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy: Effects of emergency containment measures

    Marino Gatto, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Stefano Miccoli, Luca Carraro and 2 more

    1,050 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2004978117OpenAlex

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    The spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Italy prompted drastic measures for transmission containment. We examine the effects of these interventions, based on modeling of the unfolding epidemic. We test modeling options of the spatially explicit type, suggested by the wave of infections spreading from the initial foci to the rest of Italy. We estimate parameters of a metacommunity Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR)-like transmission model that includes a network of 107 provinces connected by mobility at high resolution, and the critical contribution of presymptomatic and asymptomatic transmission. We estimate a generalized reproduction number ([Formula: see text] = 3.60 [3.49 to 3.84]), the spectral radius of a suitable next-generation matrix that measures the potential spread in the absence of containment interventions. The model includes the implementation of progressive restrictions after the first case confirmed in Italy (February 21, 2020) and runs until March 25, 2020. We account for uncertainty in epidemiological reporting, and time dependence of human…

  14. 14
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    The frontier of simulation-based inference

    Kyle Stuart Cranmer, Johann Brehmer, Gilles Louppe

    1,030 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1912789117OpenAlex

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    Many domains of science have developed complex simulations to describe phenomena of interest. While these simulations provide high-fidelity models, they are poorly suited for inference and lead to challenging inverse problems. We review the rapidly developing field of simulation-based inference and identify the forces giving additional momentum to the field. Finally, we describe how the frontier is expanding so that a broad audience can appreciate the profound influence these developments may have on science.

  15. 15
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    Phylogenetic network analysis of SARS-CoV-2 genomes

    Peter Forster, Lucy Forster, Colin Renfrew, Michael Förster

    1,022 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2004999117OpenAlex

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    In a phylogenetic network analysis of 160 complete human severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-Cov-2) genomes, we find three central variants distinguished by amino acid changes, which we have named A, B, and C, with A being the ancestral type according to the bat outgroup coronavirus. The A and C types are found in significant proportions outside East Asia, that is, in Europeans and Americans. In contrast, the B type is the most common type in East Asia, and its ancestral genome appears not to have spread outside East Asia without first mutating into derived B types, pointing to founder effects or immunological or environmental resistance against this type outside Asia. The network faithfully traces routes of infections for documented coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases, indicating that phylogenetic networks can likewise be successfully used to help trace undocumented COVID-19 infection sources, which can then be quarantined to prevent recurrent spread of the disease worldwide.

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    Syrian hamsters as a small animal model for SARS-CoV-2 infection and countermeasure development

    Masaki Imai, Kiyoko Iwatsuki‐Horimoto, Masato Hatta, Samantha J. Loeber, Peter Halfmann and 25 more

    1,021 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2009799117OpenAlex

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    At the end of 2019, a novel coronavirus (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SARS-CoV-2) was detected in Wuhan, China, that spread rapidly around the world, with severe consequences for human health and the global economy. Here, we assessed the replicative ability and pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2 isolates in Syrian hamsters. SARS-CoV-2 isolates replicated efficiently in the lungs of hamsters, causing severe pathological lung lesions following intranasal infection. In addition, microcomputed tomographic imaging revealed severe lung injury that shared characteristics with SARS-CoV-2-infected human lung, including severe, bilateral, peripherally distributed, multilobular ground glass opacity, and regions of lung consolidation. SARS-CoV-2-infected hamsters mounted neutralizing antibody responses and were protected against subsequent rechallenge with SARS-CoV-2. Moreover, passive transfer of convalescent serum to naïve hamsters efficiently suppressed the replication of the virus in the lungs even when the serum was administrated 2 d postinfection of the serum-treated hamsters.…

  17. 17
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    Economic and social consequences of human mobility restrictions under COVID-19

    Giovanni Bonaccorsi, Francesco Pierri, Matteo Cinelli, Andrea Flori, Alessandro Galeazzi and 6 more

    1,004 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2007658117OpenAlex

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    In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, several national governments have applied lockdown restrictions to reduce the infection rate. Here we perform a massive analysis on near-real-time Italian mobility data provided by Facebook to investigate how lockdown strategies affect economic conditions of individuals and local governments. We model the change in mobility as an exogenous shock similar to a natural disaster. We identify two ways through which mobility restrictions affect Italian citizens. First, we find that the impact of lockdown is stronger in municipalities with higher fiscal capacity. Second, we find evidence of a segregation effect, since mobility contraction is stronger in municipalities in which inequality is higher and for those where individuals have lower income per capita. Our results highlight both the social costs of lockdown and a challenge of unprecedented intensity: On the one hand, the crisis is inducing a sharp reduction of fiscal revenues for both national and local governments; on the other hand, a significant fiscal effort is…

  18. 18
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    Oncogenic activation of PI3K-AKT-mTOR signaling suppresses ferroptosis via SREBP-mediated lipogenesis

    Jun-Mei Yi, Jiajun Zhu, Jiao Wu, Craig B. Thompson, Xuejun Jiang

    988 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2017152117OpenAlex

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    Ferroptosis, a form of regulated necrosis driven by iron-dependent peroxidation of phospholipids, is regulated by cellular metabolism, redox homeostasis, and various signaling pathways related to cancer. In this study, we found that activating mutation of phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K) or loss of phosphatase and tensin homolog deleted on chromosome 10 (PTEN) function, highly frequent events in human cancer, confers ferroptosis resistance in cancer cells, and that inhibition of the PI3K-AKT-mTOR signaling axis sensitizes cancer cells to ferroptosis induction. Mechanistically, this resistance requires sustained activation of mTORC1 and the mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR)C1-dependent induction of sterol regulatory element-binding protein 1 (SREBP1), a central transcription factor regulating lipid metabolism. Furthermore, stearoyl-CoA desaturase-1 (SCD1), a transcriptional target of SREBP1, mediates the ferroptosis-suppressing activity of SREBP1 by producing monounsaturated fatty acids. Genetic or pharmacologic ablation of SREBP1 or SCD1 sensitized ferroptosis in cancer…

  19. 19
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    The Diversity–Innovation Paradox in Science

    Bas Hofstra, Vivek Kulkarni, Sebastian Munoz-Najar Galvez, Bryan Dawei He, Dan Jurafsky and 1 more

    986 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1915378117OpenAlex

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    Prior work finds a diversity paradox: Diversity breeds innovation, yet underrepresented groups that diversify organizations have less successful careers within them. Does the diversity paradox hold for scientists as well? We study this by utilizing a near-complete population of ∼1.2 million US doctoral recipients from 1977 to 2015 and following their careers into publishing and faculty positions. We use text analysis and machine learning to answer a series of questions: How do we detect scientific innovations? Are underrepresented groups more likely to generate scientific innovations? And are the innovations of underrepresented groups adopted and rewarded? Our analyses show that underrepresented groups produce higher rates of scientific novelty. However, their novel contributions are devalued and discounted: For example, novel contributions by gender and racial minorities are taken up by other scholars at lower rates than novel contributions by gender and racial majorities, and equally impactful contributions of gender and racial minorities are less likely to result in successful…

  20. 20
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    Historical comparison of gender inequality in scientific careers across countries and disciplines

    Junming Huang, Alexander J. Gates, Roberta Sinatra, Albert-Ĺaszló Barabási

    958 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1914221117OpenAlex

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    There is extensive, yet fragmented, evidence of gender differences in academia suggesting that women are underrepresented in most scientific disciplines and publish fewer articles throughout a career, and their work acquires fewer citations. Here, we offer a comprehensive picture of longitudinal gender differences in performance through a bibliometric analysis of academic publishing careers by reconstructing the complete publication history of over 1.5 million gender-identified authors whose publishing career ended between 1955 and 2010, covering 83 countries and 13 disciplines. We find that, paradoxically, the increase of participation of women in science over the past 60 years was accompanied by an increase of gender differences in both productivity and impact. Most surprisingly, though, we uncover two gender invariants, finding that men and women publish at a comparable annual rate and have equivalent career-wise impact for the same size body of work. Finally, we demonstrate that differences in publishing career lengths and dropout rates explain a large portion of the reported…

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    Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050

    Ilona M. Otto, Jonathan F. Donges, Roger Cremades, Avit Kumar Bhowmik, Richard J. Hewitt and 9 more

    957 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1900577117OpenAlex

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    Safely achieving the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement requires a worldwide transformation to carbon-neutral societies within the next 30 y. Accelerated technological progress and policy implementations are required to deliver emissions reductions at rates sufficiently fast to avoid crossing dangerous tipping points in the Earth's climate system. Here, we discuss and evaluate the potential of social tipping interventions (STIs) that can activate contagious processes of rapidly spreading technologies, behaviors, social norms, and structural reorganization within their functional domains that we refer to as social tipping elements (STEs). STEs are subdomains of the planetary socioeconomic system where the required disruptive change may take place and lead to a sufficiently fast reduction in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The results are based on online expert elicitation, a subsequent expert workshop, and a literature review. The STIs that could trigger the tipping of STE subsystems include 1) removing fossil-fuel subsidies and incentivizing decentralized energy generation…

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    Vertebrates on the brink as indicators of biological annihilation and the sixth mass extinction

    Gerardo Ceballos, Paul R. Ehrlich, Peter H. Raven

    922 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1922686117OpenAlex

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    The ongoing sixth mass species extinction is the result of the destruction of component populations leading to eventual extirpation of entire species. Populations and species extinctions have severe implications for society through the degradation of ecosystem services. Here we assess the extinction crisis from a different perspective. We examine 29,400 species of terrestrial vertebrates, and determine which are on the brink of extinction because they have fewer than 1,000 individuals. There are 515 species on the brink (1.7% of the evaluated vertebrates). Around 94% of the populations of 77 mammal and bird species on the brink have been lost in the last century. Assuming all species on the brink have similar trends, more than 237,000 populations of those species have vanished since 1900. We conclude the human-caused sixth mass extinction is likely accelerating for several reasons. First, many of the species that have been driven to the brink will likely become extinct soon. Second, the distribution of those species highly coincides with hundreds of other endangered species,…

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    Demographic science aids in understanding the spread and fatality rates of COVID-19

    Jennifer B. Dowd, Liliana Andriano, David M. Brazel, Valentina Rotondi, Per Block and 3 more

    905 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2004911117OpenAlex

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    Governments around the world must rapidly mobilize and make difficult policy decisions to mitigate the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Because deaths have been concentrated at older ages, we highlight the important role of demography, particularly, how the age structure of a population may help explain differences in fatality rates across countries and how transmission unfolds. We examine the role of age structure in deaths thus far in Italy and South Korea and illustrate how the pandemic could unfold in populations with similar population sizes but different age structures, showing a dramatically higher burden of mortality in countries with older versus younger populations. This powerful interaction of demography and current age-specific mortality for COVID-19 suggests that social distancing and other policies to slow transmission should consider the age composition of local and national contexts as well as intergenerational interactions. We also call for countries to provide case and fatality data disaggregated by age and sex to improve real-time targeted forecasting…

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    Prophylactic and therapeutic remdesivir (GS-5734) treatment in the rhesus macaque model of MERS-CoV infection

    Emmie de Wit, Friederike Feldmann, Jacqueline Cronin, Robert Jordan, Atsushi Okumura and 4 more

    888 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1922083117OpenAlex

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    The continued emergence of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) cases with a high case fatality rate stresses the need for the availability of effective antiviral treatments. Remdesivir (GS-5734) effectively inhibited MERS coronavirus (MERS-CoV) replication in vitro, and showed efficacy against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)-CoV in a mouse model. Here, we tested the efficacy of prophylactic and therapeutic remdesivir treatment in a nonhuman primate model of MERS-CoV infection, the rhesus macaque. Prophylactic remdesivir treatment initiated 24 h prior to inoculation completely prevented MERS-CoV-induced clinical disease, strongly inhibited MERS-CoV replication in respiratory tissues, and prevented the formation of lung lesions. Therapeutic remdesivir treatment initiated 12 h postinoculation also provided a clear clinical benefit, with a reduction in clinical signs, reduced virus replication in the lungs, and decreased presence and severity of lung lesions. The data presented here support testing of the efficacy of remdesivir treatment in the context of a MERS clinical…

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    Gender differences in COVID-19 attitudes and behavior: Panel evidence from eight countries

    Vincenzo Galasso, Vincent Pons, Paola Antonia Profeta, Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard and 1 more

    867 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2012520117OpenAlex

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    = 21,649) to study gender differences in COVID-19-related beliefs and behaviors. We show that women are more likely to perceive COVID-19 as a very serious health problem, to agree with restraining public policy measures, and to comply with them. Gender differences in attitudes and behavior are sizable in all countries. They are accounted for neither by sociodemographic and employment characteristics nor by psychological and behavioral factors. They are only partially mitigated for individuals who cohabit or have direct exposure to the virus. We show that our results are not due to differential social desirability bias. This evidence has important implications for public health policies and communication on COVID-19, which may need to be gender based, and it unveils a domain of gender differences: behavioral changes in response to a new risk.

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    Future of the human climate niche

    Chi Xu, Timothy A. Kohler, Timothy M. Lenton, Jens‐Christian Svenning, Marten Scheffer

    862 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1910114117OpenAlex

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    All species have an environmental niche, and despite technological advances, humans are unlikely to be an exception. Here, we demonstrate that for millennia, human populations have resided in the same narrow part of the climatic envelope available on the globe, characterized by a major mode around ∼11 °C to 15 °C mean annual temperature (MAT). Supporting the fundamental nature of this temperature niche, current production of crops and livestock is largely limited to the same conditions, and the same optimum has been found for agricultural and nonagricultural economic output of countries through analyses of year-to-year variation. We show that in a business-as-usual climate change scenario, the geographical position of this temperature niche is projected to shift more over the coming 50 y than it has moved since 6000 BP. Populations will not simply track the shifting climate, as adaptation in situ may address some of the challenges, and many other factors affect decisions to migrate. Nevertheless, in the absence of migration, one third of the global population is projected to…

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    Effective fisheries management instrumental in improving fish stock status

    Ray W. Hilborn, Ricardo O. Amoroso, Christopher M. Anderson, Julia K. Baum, Trevor A. Branch and 18 more

    859 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1909726116OpenAlex

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    Marine fish stocks are an important part of the world food system and are particularly important for many of the poorest people of the world. Most existing analyses suggest overfishing is increasing, and there is widespread concern that fish stocks are decreasing throughout most of the world. We assembled trends in abundance and harvest rate of stocks that are scientifically assessed, constituting half of the reported global marine fish catch. For these stocks, on average, abundance is increasing and is at proposed target levels. Compared with regions that are intensively managed, regions with less-developed fisheries management have, on average, 3-fold greater harvest rates and half the abundance as assessed stocks. Available evidence suggests that the regions without assessments of abundance have little fisheries management, and stocks are in poor shape. Increased application of area-appropriate fisheries science recommendations and management tools are still needed for sustaining fisheries in places where they are lacking.

  28. 28
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    RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO 2 emissions

    Christopher R. Schwalm, Spencer Glendon, Philip B. Duffy

    805 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2007117117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Climate simulation-based scenarios are routinely used to characterize a range of plausible climate futures. Despite some recent progress on bending the emissions curve, RCP8.5, the most aggressive scenario in assumed fossil fuel use for global climate models, will continue to serve as a useful tool for quantifying physical climate risk, especially over near- to midterm policy-relevant time horizons. Not only are the emissions consistent with RCP8.5 in close agreement with historical total cumulative CO 2 emissions (within 1%), but RCP8.5 is also the best match out to midcentury under current and stated policies with still highly plausible levels of CO 2 emissions in 2100.

  29. 29
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    Large stocks of peatland carbon and nitrogen are vulnerable to permafrost thaw

    Gustaf Hugelius, Julie Loisel, Sarah Chadburn, Robert B. Jackson, Miriam C. Jones and 9 more

    790 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1916387117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance Over many millennia, northern peatlands have accumulated large amounts of carbon and nitrogen, thus cooling the global climate. Over shorter timescales, peatland disturbances can trigger losses of peat and release of greenhouses gases. Despite their importance to the global climate, peatlands remain poorly mapped, and the vulnerability of permafrost peatlands to warming is uncertain. This study compiles over 7,000 field observations to present a data-driven map of northern peatlands and their carbon and nitrogen stocks. We use these maps to model the impact of permafrost thaw on peatlands and find that warming will likely shift the greenhouse gas balance of northern peatlands. At present, peatlands cool the climate, but anthropogenic warming can shift them into a net source of warming.

  30. 30
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    On instabilities of deep learning in image reconstruction and the potential costs of AI

    Vegard Antun, Francesco Renna, Clarice Poon, Ben Adcock, Anders C. Hansen

    789 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1907377117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Deep learning, due to its unprecedented success in tasks such as image classification, has emerged as a new tool in image reconstruction with potential to change the field. In this paper, we demonstrate a crucial phenomenon: Deep learning typically yields unstable methods for image reconstruction. The instabilities usually occur in several forms: 1) Certain tiny, almost undetectable perturbations, both in the image and sampling domain, may result in severe artefacts in the reconstruction; 2) a small structural change, for example, a tumor, may not be captured in the reconstructed image; and 3) (a counterintuitive type of instability) more samples may yield poorer performance. Our stability test with algorithms and easy-to-use software detects the instability phenomena. The test is aimed at researchers, to test their networks for instabilities, and for government agencies, such as the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), to secure safe use of deep learning methods.

  31. 31
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    A digital media literacy intervention increases discernment between mainstream and false news in the United States and India

    Andrew M. Guess, Michael Lerner, Benjamin A. Lyons, Jacob Montgomery, Brendan J Nyhan and 2 more

    770 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1920498117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Widespread belief in misinformation circulating online is a critical challenge for modern societies. While research to date has focused on psychological and political antecedents to this phenomenon, few studies have explored the role of digital media literacy shortfalls. Using data from preregistered survey experiments conducted around recent elections in the United States and India, we assess the effectiveness of an intervention modeled closely on the world's largest media literacy campaign, which provided "tips" on how to spot false news to people in 14 countries. Our results indicate that exposure to this intervention reduced the perceived accuracy of both mainstream and false news headlines, but effects on the latter were significantly larger. As a result, the intervention improved discernment between mainstream and false news headlines among both a nationally representative sample in the United States (by 26.5%) and a highly educated online sample in India (by 17.5%). This increase in discernment remained measurable several weeks later in the United States (but not in India).…

  32. 32
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    Racial disparities in automated speech recognition

    Allison Koenecke, Andrew Nam, Emily Lake, Joe Nudell, Minnie Quartey and 5 more

    760 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1915768117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Automated speech recognition (ASR) systems, which use sophisticated machine-learning algorithms to convert spoken language to text, have become increasingly widespread, powering popular virtual assistants, facilitating automated closed captioning, and enabling digital dictation platforms for health care. Over the last several years, the quality of these systems has dramatically improved, due both to advances in deep learning and to the collection of large-scale datasets used to train the systems. There is concern, however, that these tools do not work equally well for all subgroups of the population. Here, we examine the ability of five state-of-the-art ASR systems-developed by Amazon, Apple, Google, IBM, and Microsoft-to transcribe structured interviews conducted with 42 white speakers and 73 black speakers. In total, this corpus spans five US cities and consists of 19.8 h of audio matched on the age and gender of the speaker. We found that all five ASR systems exhibited substantial racial disparities, with an average word error rate (WER) of 0.35 for black speakers compared with…

  33. 33
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    Recent responses to climate change reveal the drivers of species extinction and survival

    Cristian Román‐Palacios, John J. Wiens

    747 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1913007117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Climate change may be a major threat to biodiversity in the next 100 years. Although there has been important work on mechanisms of decline in some species, it generally remains unclear which changes in climate actually cause extinctions, and how many species will likely be lost. Here, we identify the specific changes in climate that are associated with the widespread local extinctions that have already occurred. We then use this information to predict the extent of future biodiversity loss and to identify which processes may forestall extinction. We used data from surveys of 538 plant and animal species over time, 44% of which have already had local extinctions at one or more sites. We found that locations with local extinctions had larger and faster changes in hottest yearly temperatures than those without. Surprisingly, sites with local extinctions had significantly smaller changes in mean annual temperatures, despite the widespread use of mean annual temperatures as proxies for overall climate change. Based on their past rates of dispersal, we estimate that 57-70% of these 538…

  34. 34
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    Physician–patient racial concordance and disparities in birthing mortality for newborns

    Brad N. Greenwood, Rachel R. Hardeman, Laura Huang, Aaron Sojourner

    744 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1913405117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Recent work has emphasized the benefits of patient-physician concordance on clinical care outcomes for underrepresented minorities, arguing it can ameliorate outgroup biases, boost communication, and increase trust. We explore concordance in a setting where racial disparities are particularly severe: childbirth. In the United States, Black newborns die at three times the rate of White newborns. Results examining 1.8 million hospital births in the state of Florida between 1992 and 2015 suggest that newborn-physician racial concordance is associated with a significant improvement in mortality for Black infants. Results further suggest that these benefits manifest during more challenging births and in hospitals that deliver more Black babies. We find no significant improvement in maternal mortality when birthing mothers share race with their physician.

  35. 35
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    The process of Lewy body formation, rather than simply α-synuclein fibrillization, is one of the major drivers of neurodegeneration

    Anne‐Laure Mahul‐Mellier, Johannes Burtscher, Niran Maharjan, Laura Weerens, Marie Croisier and 4 more

    707 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1913904117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Abstract Parkinson’s disease (PD) is characterized by the accumulation of misfolded alpha-synuclein (α-syn) into intraneuronal inclusions named Lewy bodies (LB). Although it is widely believed that α-syn plays a central role in the pathogenesis of PD and synucleinopathies, the processes that govern α-syn fibrillization and LB formation in the brain remain poorly understood. In this work, we sought to reverse engineer LBs and dissect the spatiotemporal events involved in their biogenesis at the genetic, molecular, biochemical, structural, and cellular levels. Toward this goal, we took advantage of a seeding-based model of α-syn fibril formation in primary neurons and further developed this model to generate the first neuronal model that reproduces the key events leading to LB formation; including seeding, fibrillization, and the formation of LB-like inclusions that recapitulate many of the biochemical, structural, and organizational features of LBs found in post-mortem human PD brain tissues. Next, we applied an integrative approach combining confocal and correlative light-electron…

  36. 36
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    Microbial tryptophan metabolites regulate gut barrier function via the aryl hydrocarbon receptor

    Samantha A. Scott, Jingjing Fu, Pamela V. Chang

    693 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2000047117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs), including Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, are associated with dysbiosis of the gut microbiome. Emerging evidence suggests that small-molecule metabolites derived from bacterial breakdown of a variety of dietary nutrients confer a wide array of host benefits, including amelioration of inflammation in IBDs. Yet, in many cases, the molecular pathways targeted by these molecules remain unknown. Here, we describe roles for three metabolites-indole-3-ethanol, indole-3-pyruvate, and indole-3-aldehyde-which are derived from gut bacterial metabolism of the essential amino acid tryptophan, in regulating intestinal barrier function. We determined that these metabolites protect against increased gut permeability associated with a mouse model of colitis by maintaining the integrity of the apical junctional complex and its associated actin regulatory proteins, including myosin IIA and ezrin, and that these effects are dependent on the aryl hydrocarbon receptor. Our studies provide a deeper understanding of how gut microbial metabolites affect host…

  37. 37
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    Gender imbalance in medical imaging datasets produces biased classifiers for computer-aided diagnosis

    Agostina J. Larrazabal, Nicolás Nieto, Victoria Peterson, Diego Humberto Milone, Enzo Ferrante

    685 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1919012117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Artificial intelligence (AI) systems for computer-aided diagnosis and image-based screening are being adopted worldwide by medical institutions. In such a context, generating fair and unbiased classifiers becomes of paramount importance. The research community of medical image computing is making great efforts in developing more accurate algorithms to assist medical doctors in the difficult task of disease diagnosis. However, little attention is paid to the way databases are collected and how this may influence the performance of AI systems. Our study sheds light on the importance of gender balance in medical imaging datasets used to train AI systems for computer-assisted diagnosis. We provide empirical evidence supported by a large-scale study, based on three deep neural network architectures and two well-known publicly available X-ray image datasets used to diagnose various thoracic diseases under different gender imbalance conditions. We found a consistent decrease in performance for underrepresented genders when a minimum balance is not fulfilled. This raises the alarm for…

  38. 38
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    Global increase in major tropical cyclone exceedance probability over the past four decades

    James P. Kossin, Kenneth R. Knapp, Timothy L. Olander, Christopher S. Velden

    674 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1920849117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Theoretical understanding of the thermodynamic controls on tropical cyclone (TC) wind intensity, as well as numerical simulations, implies a positive trend in TC intensity in a warming world. The global instrumental record of TC intensity, however, is known to be heterogeneous in both space and time and is generally unsuitable for global trend analysis. To address this, a homogenized data record based on satellite data was previously created for the period 1982-2009. The 28-y homogenized record exhibited increasing global TC intensity trends, but they were not statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. Based on observed trends in the thermodynamic mean state of the tropical environment during this period, however, it was argued that the 28-y period was likely close to, but shorter than, the time required for a statistically significant positive global TC intensity trend to appear. Here the homogenized global TC intensity record is extended to the 39-y period 1979-2017, and statistically significant (at the 95% confidence level) increases are identified. Increases and…

  39. 39
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    Cell profiling of mouse acute kidney injury reveals conserved cellular responses to injury

    Yuhei Kirita, Hao Wu, Kohei Uchimura, Parker C. Wilson, Benjamin D. Humphreys

    647 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2005477117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Abstract After acute kidney injury (AKI), patients either recover or alternatively develop fibrosis and chronic kidney disease. Interactions between injured epithelia, stroma and inflammatory cells determine whether kidneys repair or undergo fibrosis, but the molecular events that drive these processes are poorly understood. Here, we use single nucleus RNA sequencing of a mouse model of AKI to characterize cell states during repair from acute injury. We identify a distinct proinflammatory and profibrotic proximal tubule cell state that fails to repair. Deconvolution of bulk RNA-seq datasets indicates that this “failed-repair proximal tubule cell” or FR-PTC, state can be detected in other models of kidney injury, increasing in the aging rat kidney and over time in human kidney allografts. We also describe dynamic intercellular communication networks and discern transcriptional pathways driving successful vs. failed repair. Our study provides a detailed description of cellular responses after injury and suggests that the FR-PTC state may represent a therapeutic target to improve…

  40. 40
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    Broad host range of SARS-CoV-2 predicted by comparative and structural analysis of ACE2 in vertebrates

    Joana Damas, Graham M. Hughes, Kathleen C. Keough, Corrie Painter, Nicole S. Persky and 14 more

    630 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2010146117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The novel coronavirus severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the cause of COVID-19. The main receptor of SARS-CoV-2, angiotensin I converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), is now undergoing extensive scrutiny to understand the routes of transmission and sensitivity in different species. Here, we utilized a unique dataset of ACE2 sequences from 410 vertebrate species, including 252 mammals, to study the conservation of ACE2 and its potential to be used as a receptor by SARS-CoV-2. We designed a five-category binding score based on the conservation properties of 25 amino acids important for the binding between ACE2 and the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. Only mammals fell into the medium to very high categories and only catarrhine primates into the very high category, suggesting that they are at high risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection. We employed a protein structural analysis to qualitatively assess whether amino acid changes at variable residues would be likely to disrupt ACE2/SARS-CoV-2 spike protein binding and found the number of predicted unfavorable changes significantly…

  41. 41
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    Rhizosphere microbiome mediates systemic root metabolite exudation by root-to-root signaling

    Elisa Korenblum, Yonghui Dong, Jędrzej Szymański, Sayantan Panda, Adam P. Jóźwiak and 4 more

    607 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1912130117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Microbial communities associated with roots confer specific functions to their hosts, thereby modulating plant growth, health, and productivity. Yet, seminal questions remain largely unaddressed including whether and how the rhizosphere microbiome modulates root metabolism and exudation and, consequently, how plants fine tune this complex belowground web of interactions. Here we show that, through a process termed systemically induced root exudation of metabolites (SIREM), different microbial communities induce specific systemic changes in tomato root exudation. For instance, systemic exudation of acylsugars secondary metabolites is triggered by local colonization of bacteria affiliated with the genus Bacillus . Moreover, both leaf and systemic root metabolomes and transcriptomes change according to the rhizosphere microbial community structure. Analysis of the systemic root metabolome points to glycosylated azelaic acid as a potential microbiome-induced signaling molecule that is subsequently exuded as free azelaic acid. Our results demonstrate that rhizosphere microbiome assembly…

  42. 42
    top 1.1%

    The impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on the future dynamics of endemic infections

    Rachel E. Baker, Sang Woo Park, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Charlotte Jessica E. Metcalf and 1 more

    590 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2013182117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been employed to reduce the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), yet these measures are already having similar effects on other directly transmitted, endemic diseases. Disruptions to the seasonal transmission patterns of these diseases may have consequences for the timing and severity of future outbreaks. Here we consider the implications of SARS-CoV-2 NPIs for two endemic infections circulating in the United States of America: respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and seasonal influenza. Using laboratory surveillance data from 2020, we estimate that RSV transmission declined by at least 20% in the United States at the start of the NPI period. We simulate future trajectories of both RSV and influenza, using an epidemic model. As susceptibility increases over the NPI period, we find that substantial outbreaks of RSV may occur in future years, with peak outbreaks likely occurring in the winter of 2021-2022. Longer NPIs, in general, lead to larger future outbreaks although they may display complex…

  43. 43
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    ALKBH5 regulates anti–PD-1 therapy response by modulating lactate and suppressive immune cell accumulation in tumor microenvironment

    Na Li, Yuqi Kang, Lingling Wang, Sarah E. Huff, Rachel Tang and 6 more

    577 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1918986117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance N 6 -methylation of adenosine (m 6 A) RNA modification plays important roles in development and tumorigenesis. The functions and mechanisms of m 6 A demethylases during cancer immunotherapy is still unclear. Here we employed melanoma and colon syngeneic mouse models to study the roles of m 6 A demethylases ALKBH5 and FTO during anti–PD-1 antibody and GVAX vaccination therapy. We found that ALKBH5 knockout in tumor cells enhances efficacy of immunotherapy and prolonged mouse survival. ALKBH5 modulates target gene expression and gene splicing, leading to changes of metabolite contents, such as lactate in tumor microenvironment, which regulates suppressive lymphocytes Treg and myeloid-derived suppressor cell accumulations. Importantly, by using ALKBH5-specific inhibitor, we observed the similar phenotype, indicating future translational application of our findings.

  44. 44
    top 1.1%

    The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19

    Andrea Louise Bertozzi, Elisa Franco, George Mohler, Martin B. Short, Daniel Sledge

    565 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2006520117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has placed epidemic modeling at the forefront of worldwide public policy making. Nonetheless, modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19 remains a challenge. Here, we detail three regional-scale models for forecasting and assessing the course of the pandemic. This work demonstrates the utility of parsimonious models for early-time data and provides an accessible framework for generating policy-relevant insights into its course. We show how these models can be connected to each other and to time series data for a particular region. Capable of measuring and forecasting the impacts of social distancing, these models highlight the dangers of relaxing nonpharmaceutical public health interventions in the absence of a vaccine or antiviral therapies.

  45. 46
    top 1.2%

    Observation of non-Hermitian topology and its bulk–edge correspondence in an active mechanical metamaterial

    Ananya Ghatak, Martin Brandenbourger, Jasper van Wezel, Corentin Coulais

    557 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2010580117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Topological edge modes are excitations that are localized at the materials' edges and yet are characterized by a topological invariant defined in the bulk. Such bulk-edge correspondence has enabled the creation of robust electronic, electromagnetic, and mechanical transport properties across a wide range of systems, from cold atoms to metamaterials, active matter, and geophysical flows. Recently, the advent of non-Hermitian topological systems-wherein energy is not conserved-has sparked considerable theoretical advances. In particular, novel topological phases that can only exist in non-Hermitian systems have been introduced. However, whether such phases can be experimentally observed, and what their properties are, have remained open questions. Here, we identify and observe a form of bulk-edge correspondence for a particular non-Hermitian topological phase. We find that a change in the bulk non-Hermitian topological invariant leads to a change of topological edge-mode localization together with peculiar purely non-Hermitian properties. Using a quantum-to-classical analogy, we…

  46. 47
    top 1.2%

    Benign overfitting in linear regression

    Peter L. Bartlett, Philip M. Long, Gábor Lugosi, Alexander Tsigler

    555 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1907378117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The phenomenon of benign overfitting is one of the key mysteries uncovered by deep learning methodology: deep neural networks seem to predict well, even with a perfect fit to noisy training data. Motivated by this phenomenon, we consider when a perfect fit to training data in linear regression is compatible with accurate prediction. We give a characterization of linear regression problems for which the minimum norm interpolating prediction rule has near-optimal prediction accuracy. The characterization is in terms of two notions of the effective rank of the data covariance. It shows that overparameterization is essential for benign overfitting in this setting: the number of directions in parameter space that are unimportant for prediction must significantly exceed the sample size. By studying examples of data covariance properties that this characterization shows are required for benign overfitting, we find an important role for finite-dimensional data: the accuracy of the minimum norm interpolating prediction rule approaches the best possible accuracy for a much narrower range of…

  47. 48
    top 1.2%

    Using gross ecosystem product (GEP) to value nature in decision making

    Zhiyun Ouyang, Changsu Song, Hua Zheng, Stephen Polasky, Yi Xiao and 8 more

    554 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1911439117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Gross domestic product (GDP) summarizes a vast amount of economic information in a single monetary metric that is widely used by decision makers around the world. However, GDP fails to capture fully the contributions of nature to economic activity and human well-being. To address this critical omission, we develop a measure of gross ecosystem product (GEP) that summarizes the value of ecosystem services in a single monetary metric. We illustrate the measurement of GEP through an application to the Chinese province of Qinghai, showing that the approach is tractable using available data. Known as the "water tower of Asia," Qinghai is the source of the Mekong, Yangtze, and Yellow Rivers, and indeed, we find that water-related ecosystem services make up nearly two-thirds of the value of GEP for Qinghai. Importantly most of these benefits accrue downstream. In Qinghai, GEP was greater than GDP in 2000 and three-fourths as large as GDP in 2015 as its market economy grew. Large-scale investment in restoration resulted in improvements in the flows of ecosystem services measured in GEP…

  48. 49
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    Biologically inspired flexible photonic films for efficient passive radiative cooling

    Haiwen Zhang, Kally Chein Sheng Ly, Xianghui Liu, Zhihan Chen, Min Yan and 5 more

    553 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2001802117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance Some biological creatures have astonishing photonic structures to exhibit a thermal regulation ability. Taking inspiration from the brilliantly golden longicorn beetles, we demonstrate a bioinspired design of flexible hybrid photonic films for achieving efficient passive radiative cooling. Resonant polar dielectric microsphere particles were introduced into polydimethylsiloxane with photonic architectures to enhance the visible to near-infrared reflectivity and the midinfrared emissivity, enabling considerable subambient temperature drops under direct sunlight. This work paves the way toward radiative cooling technology based on photonic radiators with high performance and large-scale production, showing great potential for energy savings and efficient power generation.

  49. 50
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    Impact of international travel and border control measures on the global spread of the novel 2019 coronavirus outbreak

    Chad R. Wells, Pratha Sah, Seyed M. Moghadas, Abhishek Pandey, Affan Shoukat and 5 more

    552 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2002616117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The novel coronavirus outbreak (COVID-19) in mainland China has rapidly spread across the globe. Within 2 mo since the outbreak was first reported on December 31, 2019, a total of 566 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS CoV-2) cases have been confirmed in 26 other countries. Travel restrictions and border control measures have been enforced in China and other countries to limit the spread of the outbreak. We estimate the impact of these control measures and investigate the role of the airport travel network on the global spread of the COVID-19 outbreak. Our results show that the daily risk of exporting at least a single SARS CoV-2 case from mainland China via international travel exceeded 95% on January 13, 2020. We found that 779 cases (95% CI: 632 to 967) would have been exported by February 15, 2020 without any border or travel restrictions and that the travel lockdowns enforced by the Chinese government averted 70.5% (95% CI: 68.8 to 72.0%) of these cases. In addition, during the first three and a half weeks of implementation, the travel restrictions decreased the daily rate…

  50. 51
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    The European Union Emissions Trading System reduced CO 2 emissions despite low prices

    Patrick J. Bayer, Michaël Aklin

    544 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1918128117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    International carbon markets are an appealing and increasingly popular tool to regulate carbon emissions. By putting a price on carbon, carbon markets reshape incentives faced by firms and reduce the value of emissions. How effective are carbon markets? Observers have tended to infer their effectiveness from market prices. The general belief is that a carbon market needs a high price in order to reduce emissions. As a result, many observers remain skeptical of initiatives such as the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), whose price remained low (compared to the social cost of carbon). In this paper, we assess whether the EU ETS reduced [Formula: see text] emissions despite low prices. We motivate our study by documenting that a carbon market can be effective if it is a credible institution that can plausibly become more stringent in the future. In such a case, firms might cut emissions even though market prices are low. In fact, low prices can be a signal that the demand for carbon permits weakens. Thus, low prices are compatible with successful carbon markets. To…

  51. 52
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    Characterization and engineering of a two-enzyme system for plastics depolymerization

    Brandon C. Knott, Erika Erickson, Mark D. Allen, Japheth E. Gado, Rosie Graham and 15 more

    533 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2006753117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    PETase depolymerizes PET, liberating soluble products, including mono(2-hydroxyethyl) terephthalate (MHET), which is cleaved to terephthalic acid and ethylene glycol by MHETase. Here, we report a 1.6 Å resolution MHETase structure, illustrating that the MHETase core domain is similar to PETase, capped by a lid domain. Simulations of the catalytic itinerary predict that MHETase follows the canonical two-step serine hydrolase mechanism. Bioinformatics analysis suggests that MHETase evolved from ferulic acid esterases, and two homologous enzymes are shown to exhibit MHET turnover. Analysis of the two homologous enzymes and the MHETase S131G mutant demonstrates the importance of this residue for accommodation of MHET in the active site. We also demonstrate that the MHETase lid is crucial for hydrolysis of MHET and, furthermore, that MHETase does not turnover mono(2-hydroxyethyl)-furanoate or mono(2-hydroxyethyl)-isophthalate. A highly synergistic relationship between PETase and MHETase was observed for the conversion of amorphous PET film to monomers across all nonzero MHETase…

  52. 53
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    SARS-CoV-2 Orf6 hijacks Nup98 to block STAT nuclear import and antagonize interferon signaling

    Lisa Miorin, Thomas Kehrer, María Teresa Sánchez-Aparicio, Ke Zhang, Phillip D. Cohen and 22 more

    528 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2016650117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the causative agent of the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that is a serious global health problem. Evasion of IFN-mediated antiviral signaling is a common defense strategy that pathogenic viruses use to replicate and propagate in their host. In this study, we show that SARS-CoV-2 is able to efficiently block STAT1 and STAT2 nuclear translocation in order to impair transcriptional induction of IFN-stimulated genes (ISGs). Our results demonstrate that the viral accessory protein Orf6 exerts this anti-IFN activity. We found that SARS-CoV-2 Orf6 localizes at the nuclear pore complex (NPC) and directly interacts with Nup98-Rae1 via its C-terminal domain to impair docking of cargo-receptor (karyopherin/importin) complex and disrupt nuclear import. In addition, we show that a methionine-to-arginine substitution at residue 58 impairs Orf6 binding to the Nup98-Rae1 complex and abolishes its IFN antagonistic function. All together our data unravel a mechanism of viral antagonism in which a virus hijacks the…

  53. 54
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    Impacts of current and future large dams on the geographic range connectivity of freshwater fish worldwide

    Valerio Barbarossa, Rafael Schmitt, Mark A. J. Huijbregts, Christiane Zarfl, Henry King and 1 more

    500 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1912776117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Dams contribute to water security, energy supply, and flood protection but also fragment habitats of freshwater species. Yet, a global species-level assessment of dam-induced fragmentation is lacking. Here, we assessed the degree of fragmentation of the occurrence ranges of ∼10,000 lotic fish species worldwide due to ∼40,000 existing large dams and ∼3,700 additional future large hydropower dams. Per river basin, we quantified a connectivity index (CI) for each fish species by combining its occurrence range with a high-resolution hydrography and the locations of the dams. Ranges of nondiadromous fish species were more fragmented (less connected) (CI = 73 ± 28%; mean ± SD) than ranges of diadromous species (CI = 86 ± 19%). Current levels of fragmentation were highest in the United States, Europe, South Africa, India, and China. Increases in fragmentation due to future dams were especially high in the tropics, with declines in CI of ∼20 to 40 percentage points on average across the species in the Amazon, Niger, Congo, Salween, and Mekong basins. Our assessment can guide river…

  54. 55
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    Projecting hospital utilization during the COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States

    Seyed M. Moghadas, Affan Shoukat, Meagan C. Fitzpatrick, Chad R. Wells, Pratha Sah and 6 more

    495 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2004064117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    In the wake of community coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission in the United States, there is a growing public health concern regarding the adequacy of resources to treat infected cases. Hospital beds, intensive care units (ICUs), and ventilators are vital for the treatment of patients with severe illness. To project the timing of the outbreak peak and the number of ICU beds required at peak, we simulated a COVID-19 outbreak parameterized with the US population demographics. In scenario analyses, we varied the delay from symptom onset to self-isolation, the proportion of symptomatic individuals practicing self-isolation, and the basic reproduction number R 0 . Without self-isolation, when R 0 = 2.5, treatment of critically ill individuals at the outbreak peak would require 3.8 times more ICU beds than exist in the United States. Self-isolation by 20% of cases 24 h after symptom onset would delay and flatten the outbreak trajectory, reducing the number of ICU beds needed at the peak by 48.4% (interquartile range 46.4–50.3%), although still exceeding existing capacity. When…

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    Critical period regulation across multiple timescales

    Rebecca K. Reh, Brian George Dias, Charles A. Nelson, Daniela Kaufer, Janet F. Werker and 3 more

    491 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1820836117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Brain plasticity is dynamically regulated across the life span, peaking during windows of early life. Typically assessed in the physiological range of milliseconds (real time), these trajectories are also influenced on the longer timescales of developmental time (nurture) and evolutionary time (nature), which shape neural architectures that support plasticity. Properly sequenced critical periods of circuit refinement build up complex cognitive functions, such as language, from more primary modalities. Here, we consider recent progress in the biological basis of critical periods as a unifying rubric for understanding plasticity across multiple timescales. Notably, the maturation of parvalbumin-positive (PV) inhibitory neurons is pivotal. These fast-spiking cells generate gamma oscillations associated with critical period plasticity, are sensitive to circadian gene manipulation, emerge at different rates across brain regions, acquire perineuronal nets with age, and may be influenced by epigenetic factors over generations. These features provide further novel insight into the impact of…

  56. 57
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    Progress toward gender equality in the United States has slowed or stalled

    Paula England, Andrew Levine, Emma Mishel

    479 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1918891117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    We examine change in multiple indicators of gender inequality for the period of 1970 to 2018. The percentage of women (age 25 to 54) who are employed rose continuously until ∼2000 when it reached its highest point to date of 75%; it was slightly lower at 73% in 2018. Women have surpassed men in receipt of baccalaureate and doctoral degrees. The degree of segregation of fields of study declined dramatically in the 1970s and 1980s, but little since then. The desegregation of occupations continues but has slowed its pace. Examining the hourly pay of those aged 25 to 54 who are employed full-time, we found that the ratio of women's to men's pay increased from 0.61 to 0.83 between 1970 and 2018, rising especially fast in the 1980s, but much slower since 1990. In sum, there has been dramatic progress in movement toward gender equality, but, in recent decades, change has slowed and on some indicators stalled entirely.

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    Polyunsaturated fatty acid biosynthesis pathway determines ferroptosis sensitivity in gastric cancer

    Ji-Yoon Lee, Miso Nam, Hye Young Son, Kwangbeom Hyun, Seo Young Jang and 19 more

    478 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2006828117OpenAlex

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    Ferroptosis is an iron-dependent regulated necrosis mediated by lipid peroxidation. Cancer cells survive under metabolic stress conditions by altering lipid metabolism, which may alter their sensitivity to ferroptosis. However, the association between lipid metabolism and ferroptosis is not completely understood. In this study, we found that the expression of elongation of very long-chain fatty acid protein 5 (ELOVL5) and fatty acid desaturase 1 (FADS1) is up-regulated in mesenchymal-type gastric cancer cells (GCs), leading to ferroptosis sensitization. In contrast, these enzymes are silenced by DNA methylation in intestinal-type GCs, rendering cells resistant to ferroptosis. Lipid profiling and isotope tracing analyses revealed that intestinal-type GCs are unable to generate arachidonic acid (AA) and adrenic acid (AdA) from linoleic acid. AA supplementation of intestinal-type GCs restores their sensitivity to ferroptosis. Based on these data, the polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) biosynthesis pathway plays an essential role in ferroptosis; thus, this pathway potentially represents…

  58. 59
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    Single-nucleus transcriptome analysis reveals dysregulation of angiogenic endothelial cells and neuroprotective glia in Alzheimer’s disease

    Shun‐Fat Lau, Han Cao, Amy K.Y. Fu, Nancy Y. Ip

    475 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2008762117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance Alzheimer’s disease (AD) has complex pathological mechanisms. Our limited understanding of the molecular and cellular changes in AD hindered the identification of therapeutic targets. In this study, we profiled 169,496 nuclei from the prefrontal cortical samples of AD patients and healthy controls by single-nucleus RNA sequencing. The results indicated that there is a loss of neuroprotective glial cells in AD, which may contribute to impaired neurotransmitter recycling in astrocytes, demyelination in oligodendrocytes, and perturbed synaptic pruning in microglia. Moreover, the analysis revealed a role of antigen presentation by angiogenic endothelial cells in AD. Together, our findings offer important insights into the therapeutic potential of targeting glial- and endothelial-specific pathways to restore brain homeostasis in AD.

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    TLR signaling adapter BCAP regulates inflammatory to reparatory macrophage transition by promoting histone lactylation

    Ricardo A. Irizarry-Caro, Margaret M. McDaniel, Garrett R. Overcast, Viral G. Jain, Ty D. Troutman and 1 more

    466 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2009778117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Macrophages respond to microbial ligands and various noxious cues by initiating an inflammatory response aimed at eliminating the original pathogenic insult. Transition of macrophages from a proinflammatory state to a reparative state, however, is vital for resolution of inflammation and return to homeostasis. The molecular players governing this transition remain poorly defined. Here, we find that the reparative macrophage transition is dictated by B-cell adapter for PI3K (BCAP). Mice harboring a macrophage-specific deletion of BCAP fail to recover from and succumb to dextran sulfate sodium-induced colitis due to prolonged intestinal inflammation and impaired tissue repair. Following microbial stimulation, gene expression in WT macrophages switches from an early inflammatory signature to a late reparative signature, a process that is hampered in BCAP-deficient macrophages. We find that absence of BCAP hinders inactivation of FOXO1 and GSK3β, which contributes to their enhanced inflammatory state. BCAP deficiency also results in defective aerobic glycolysis and reduced lactate…

  60. 61
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    A scalable pipeline for designing reconfigurable organisms

    Sam Kriegman, Douglas J. Blackiston, Michael G. Levin, Josh Bongard

    466 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1910837117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Living systems are more robust, diverse, complex, and supportive of human life than any technology yet created. However, our ability to create novel lifeforms is currently limited to varying existing organisms or bioengineering organoids in vitro. Here we show a scalable pipeline for creating functional novel lifeforms: AI methods automatically design diverse candidate lifeforms in silico to perform some desired function, and transferable designs are then created using a cell-based construction toolkit to realize living systems with the predicted behaviors. Although some steps in this pipeline still require manual intervention, complete automation in future would pave the way to designing and deploying unique, bespoke living systems for a wide range of functions.

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    The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks

    Seyed M. Moghadas, Meagan C. Fitzpatrick, Pratha Sah, Abhishek Pandey, Affan Shoukat and 2 more

    449 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2008373117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Since the emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), unprecedented movement restrictions and social distancing measures have been implemented worldwide. The socioeconomic repercussions have fueled calls to lift these measures. In the absence of population-wide restrictions, isolation of infected individuals is key to curtailing transmission. However, the effectiveness of symptom-based isolation in preventing a resurgence depends on the extent of presymptomatic and asymptomatic transmission. We evaluate the contribution of presymptomatic and asymptomatic transmission based on recent individual-level data regarding infectiousness prior to symptom onset and the asymptomatic proportion among all infections. We found that the majority of incidences may be attributable to silent transmission from a combination of the presymptomatic stage and asymptomatic infections. Consequently, even if all symptomatic cases are isolated, a vast outbreak may nonetheless unfold. We further quantified the effect of isolating silent infections in addition to symptomatic cases, finding that over…

  62. 63
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    Predicting long-term dynamics of soil salinity and sodicity on a global scale

    Amirhossein Hassani, Adisa Azapagic, Nima Shokri

    447 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2013771117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance Land degradation due to soil salinization has detrimental impacts on vegetation, crops, and human livelihoods, leading to a need for a methodologically consistent analysis of the variability of different aspects of salt-affected soils. However, previous studies on the soil salinity issue have been primarily spatial and localized, leaving the large-scale spatiotemporal variations of soil salinity widely ignored. To address this gap, we present a globally validated analysis quantifying the long-term variations (40 y) of topsoil salinity at high spatial resolutions using machine-learning techniques. The results have significant implications for agroecological modelling, land assessment, crop growth simulation, and sustainable water management.

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    The functional activity of E-cadherin controls tumor cell metastasis at multiple steps

    Tae-Young Na, Leslayann C. Schecterson, Alisha M. Mendonsa, Barry M. Gumbiner

    445 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1918167117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    E-cadherin is a tumor suppressor protein, and the loss of its expression in association with the epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) occurs frequently during tumor metastasis. However, many metastases continue to express E-cadherin, and a full EMT is not always necessary for metastasis; also, positive roles for E-cadherin expression in metastasis have been reported. We hypothesize instead that changes in the functional activity of E-cadherin expressed on tumor cells in response to environmental factors is an important determinant of the ability of the tumor cells to metastasize. We find that E-cadherin expression persists in metastatic lung nodules and circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in two mouse models of mammary cancer: genetically modified MMTV-PyMT mice and orthotopically grafted 4T1 tumor cells. Importantly, monoclonal antibodies that bind to and activate E-cadherin at the cell surface reduce lung metastasis from endogenous genetically driven tumors and from tumor cell grafts. E-cadherin activation inhibits metastasis at multiple stages, including the accumulation of CTCs…

  64. 65
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    First-principles experimental demonstration of ferroelectricity in a thermotropic nematic liquid crystal: Polar domains and striking electro-optics

    Xi Chen, Eva D. Korblova, Dengpan Dong, Xiaoyü Wei, Renfan Shao and 6 more

    442 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2002290117OpenAlex

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    We report the experimental determination of the structure and response to applied electric field of the lower-temperature nematic phase of the previously reported calamitic compound 4-[(4-nitrophenoxy)carbonyl]phenyl2,4-dimethoxybenzoate (RM734). We exploit its electro-optics to visualize the appearance, in the absence of applied field, of a permanent electric polarization density, manifested as a spontaneously broken symmetry in distinct domains of opposite polar orientation. Polarization reversal is mediated by field-induced domain wall movement, making this phase ferroelectric, a 3D uniaxial nematic having a spontaneous, reorientable polarization locally parallel to the director. This polarization density saturates at a low temperature value of ∼6 µC/cm 2 , the largest ever measured for a fluid or glassy material. This polarization is comparable to that of solid state ferroelectrics and is close to the average value obtained by assuming perfect, polar alignment of molecular dipoles in the nematic. We find a host of spectacular optical and hydrodynamic effects driven by ultralow…

  65. 66
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    BCG vaccine protection from severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)

    Luis E. Escobar, Alvaro Molina-Cruz, Carolina V. Barillas-Mury

    437 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2008410117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the most devastating in recent history. The bacillus Calmette−Guérin (BCG) vaccine against tuberculosis also confers broad protection against other infectious diseases, and it has been proposed that it could reduce the severity of COVID-19. This epidemiological study assessed the global linkage between BCG vaccination and COVID-19 mortality. Signals of BCG vaccination effect on COVID-19 mortality are influenced by social, economic, and demographic differences between countries. After mitigating multiple confounding factors, several significant associations between BCG vaccination and reduced COVID-19 deaths were observed. This study highlights the need for mechanistic studies behind the effect of BCG vaccination on COVID-19, and for clinical evaluation of the effectiveness of BCG vaccination to protect from severe COVID-19.

  66. 67
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    NETosis proceeds by cytoskeleton and endomembrane disassembly and PAD4-mediated chromatin decondensation and nuclear envelope rupture

    Hawa Racine Thiam, Siu Ling Wong, Rong Qiu, Mark Kittisopikul, Amir Vahabikashi and 4 more

    437 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1909546117OpenAlex

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    Abstract Neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) are web-like DNA structures decorated with histones and cytotoxic proteins that are released by activated neutrophils to trap and neutralize pathogens during the innate immune response, but also form in and exacerbate sterile inflammation. Peptidylarginine deiminase 4 (PAD4) citrullinates histones and is required for NET formation (NETosis) in mouse neutrophils. While the in vivo impact of NETs is accumulating, the cellular events driving NETosis and the role of PAD4 in these events are unclear. We performed high resolution time-lapse microscopy of mouse and human neutrophils (PMN) and differentiated HL-60 neutrophil-like cells (dHL-60) labelled with fluorescent markers of organelles and stimulated with ionomycin or lipopolysaccharides to induce NETosis. Upon stimulation, cells exhibited rapid disassembly of the actin cytoskeleton, followed by shedding of plasma membrane microvesicles, disassembly and remodeling of the microtubule and vimentin cytoskeletons, ER vesiculation, chromatin de-condensation and nuclear rounding, progressive…

  67. 68
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    Land-use intensity alters networks between biodiversity, ecosystem functions, and services

    María R. Felipe‐Lucia, Santiago Soliveres, Caterina Penone, Markus Fischer, Christian Ammer and 25 more

    434 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2016210117OpenAlex

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    Land-use intensification can increase provisioning ecosystem services, such as food and timber production, but it also drives changes in ecosystem functioning and biodiversity loss, which may ultimately compromise human wellbeing. To understand how changes in land-use intensity affect the relationships between biodiversity, ecosystem functions, and services, we built networks from correlations between the species richness of 16 trophic groups, 10 ecosystem functions, and 15 ecosystem services. We evaluated how the properties of these networks varied across land-use intensity gradients for 150 forests and 150 grasslands. Land-use intensity significantly affected network structure in both habitats. Changes in connectance were larger in forests, while changes in modularity and evenness were more evident in grasslands. Our results show that increasing land-use intensity leads to more homogeneous networks with less integration within modules in both habitats, driven by the belowground compartment in grasslands, while forest responses to land management were more complex. Land-use…

  68. 69
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    Experimental infection of domestic dogs and cats with SARS-CoV-2: Pathogenesis, transmission, and response to reexposure in cats

    Angela M. Bosco‐Lauth, Airn E. Hartwig, Stephanie M. Porter, Paul Gordy, Mary Nehring and 5 more

    425 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2013102117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has reached nearly every country in the world with extraordinary person-to-person transmission. The most likely original source of the virus was spillover from an animal reservoir and subsequent adaptation to humans sometime during the winter of 2019 in Wuhan Province, China. Because of its genetic similarity to SARS-CoV-1, it is probable that this novel virus has a similar host range and receptor specificity. Due to concern for human-pet transmission, we investigated the susceptibility of domestic cats and dogs to infection and potential for infected cats to transmit to naive cats. We report that cats are highly susceptible to infection, with a prolonged period of oral and nasal viral shedding that is not accompanied by clinical signs, and are capable of direct contact transmission to other cats. These studies confirm that cats are susceptible to productive SARS-CoV-2 infection, but are unlikely to develop clinical disease. Further, we document that cats developed a robust neutralizing antibody…

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    Rapid isothermal amplification and portable detection system for SARS-CoV-2

    Anurup Ganguli, Ariana Mostafa, Jacob Berger, Mehmet Y. Aydin, Fu Sun and 5 more

    421 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2014739117OpenAlex

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    Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic provides an urgent example where a gap exists between availability of state-of-the-art diagnostics and current needs. As assay details and primer sequences become widely known, many laboratories could perform diagnostic tests using methods such as RT-PCR or isothermal RT-LAMP amplification. A key advantage of RT-LAMP based approaches compared to RT-PCR is that RT-LAMP is known to be robust in detecting targets from unprocessed samples. In addition, RT-LAMP assays are performed at a constant temperature enabling speed, simplicity, and point-of-use testing. Here, we provide the details of an RT-LAMP isothermal assay for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 virus with performance comparable to currently approved tests using RT-PCR. We characterize the assay by introducing swabs in virus spiked synthetic nasal fluids, moving the swab to viral transport medium (VTM), and using a volume of that VTM for performing the amplification without an RNA extraction kit. The assay has a Limit-of-Detection (LOD) of 50 RNA copies/μL in the VTM solution within 20 minutes, and LOD…

  70. 71
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    Global diversity of microbial communities in marine sediment

    Tatsuhiko Hoshino, Hideyuki Doi, Go‐Ichiro Uramoto, Lars Wörmer, Rishi Ram Adhikari and 5 more

    416 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1919139117OpenAlex

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    Significance Marine sediment covers 70% of Earth’s surface and harbors as much biomass as seawater. However, the global taxonomic diversity of marine sedimentary communities, and the spatial distribution of that diversity remain unclear. We investigated microbial composition from 40 globally distributed sampling locations, spanning sediment depths of 0.1 to 678 m. Statistical analysis reveals that oxygen presence or absence and organic carbon concentration are key environmental factors for defining taxonomic composition and diversity of marine sedimentary communities. Global marine sedimentary taxonomic richness predicted by species–area relationship models is 7.85 × 10 3 to 6.10 × 10 5 for Archaea and 3.28 × 10 4 to 2.46 × 10 6 for Bacteria as amplicon sequence variants, which is comparable to the richness in seawater and that in topsoil.

  71. 72
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    Systemic signaling during abiotic stress combination in plants

    Sara I. Zandalinas, Yosef Fichman, Amith R. Devireddy, Soham Sengupta, Rajeev K. Azad and 1 more

    414 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2005077117OpenAlex

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    Extreme environmental conditions, such as heat, salinity, and decreased water availability, can have a devastating impact on plant growth and productivity, potentially resulting in the collapse of entire ecosystems. Stress-induced systemic signaling and systemic acquired acclimation play canonical roles in plant survival during episodes of environmental stress. Recent studies revealed that in response to a single abiotic stress, applied to a single leaf, plants mount a comprehensive stress-specific systemic response that includes the accumulation of many different stress-specific transcripts and metabolites, as well as a coordinated stress-specific whole-plant stomatal response. However, in nature plants are routinely subjected to a combination of two or more different abiotic stresses, each potentially triggering its own stress-specific systemic response, highlighting a new fundamental question in plant biology: are plants capable of integrating two different systemic signals simultaneously generated during conditions of stress combination? Here we show that plants can integrate…

  72. 73
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    Face masks considerably reduce COVID-19 cases in Germany

    Timo Mitze, Reinhold Kosfeld, Johannes Rode, Klaus Wälde

    413 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2015954117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance Mitigating the spread of COVID-19 is the objective of most governments. It is of utmost importance to understand how effective various public health measures are. We study the effectiveness of face masks. We employ public regional data about reported severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections for Germany. As face masks became mandatory at different points in time across German regions, we can compare the rise in infections in regions with masks and regions without masks. Weighing various estimates, we conclude that 20 d after becoming mandatory face masks have reduced the number of new infections by around 45%. As economic costs are close to zero compared to other public health measures, masks seem to be a cost-effective means to combat COVID-19.

  73. 74
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    Social distancing responses to COVID-19 emergency declarations strongly differentiated by income

    Joakim Weill, Matthieu Stigler, Olivier Deschênes, Michael Springborn

    407 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2009412117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    In the absence of a vaccine, social distancing measures are one of the primary tools to reduce the transmission of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus, which causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We show that social distancing following US state-level emergency declarations substantially varies by income. Using mobility measures derived from mobile device location pings, we find that wealthier areas decreased mobility significantly more than poorer areas, and this general pattern holds across income quantiles, data sources, and mobility measures. Using an event study design focusing on behavior subsequent to state emergency orders, we document a reversal in the ordering of social distancing by income: Wealthy areas went from most mobile before the pandemic to least mobile, while, for multiple measures, the poorest areas went from least mobile to most. Previous research has shown that lower income communities have higher levels of preexisting health conditions and lower access to healthcare. Combining this with our core finding-that lower…

  74. 75
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    Worldwide carrier frequency and genetic prevalence of autosomal recessive inherited retinal diseases

    Mor Hanany, Carlo Rivolta, Dror Sharon

    406 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1913179117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    One of the major questions in human genetics is what percentage of individuals in the general population carry a disease-causing mutation. Based on publicly available information on genotypes from six main world populations, we created a database including data on 276,921 sequence variants, present within 187 genes associated with autosomal recessive (AR) inherited retinal diseases (IRDs). Assessment of these variants revealed that 10,044 were categorized as disease-causing mutations. We developed an algorithm to compute the gene-specific prevalence of disease, as well as the mutational burden in healthy subjects. We found that the genetic prevalence of AR-IRDs corresponds approximately to 1 case in 1,380 individuals, with 5.5 million people expected to be affected worldwide. In addition, we calculated that unaffected carriers of mutations are numerous, ranging from 1 in 2.26 individuals in Europeans to 1 in 3.50 individuals in the Finnish population. Our analysis indicates that about 2.7 billion people worldwide (36% of the population) are healthy carriers of at least one mutation…

  75. 76
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    How cholesterol stiffens unsaturated lipid membranes

    Saptarshi Chakraborty, Milka Doktorova, Trivikram R. Molugu, Frederick A. Heberle, Haden L. Scott and 9 more

    402 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2004807117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    H NMR) spectroscopy, and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations-we report that cholesterol locally increases the bending rigidity of DOPC membranes, similar to saturated membranes, by increasing the bilayer's packing density. All three techniques, inherently sensitive to mesoscale bending fluctuations, show up to a threefold increase in effective bending rigidity with increasing cholesterol content approaching a mole fraction of 50%. Our observations are in good agreement with the known effects of cholesterol on the area-compressibility modulus and membrane structure, reaffirming membrane structure-property relationships. The current findings point to a scale-dependent manifestation of membrane properties, highlighting the need to reassess cholesterol's role in controlling membrane bending rigidity over mesoscopic length and time scales of important biological functions, such as viral budding and lipid-protein interactions.

  76. 77
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    Spatially separating redox centers on 2D carbon nitride with cobalt single atom for photocatalytic H 2 O 2 production

    Chiheng Chu, Qianhong Zhu, Zhenhua Pan, Srishti Gupta, Dahong Huang and 7 more

    402 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1913403117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance Photocatalysts frequently require simultaneous loading of oxidative and reductive cocatalysts to achieve both efficient half-reactions within a single material. Nevertheless, unregulated loading and distribution of two cocatalysts will result in direct contact between oxidation and reduction centers, leading to detrimental charge recombination. This research presents a center/edge approach to load two redox cocatalysts with controlled physical separation in atomistic scale using single-atom architecture. This spatial separation is critical for enhancing surface charge separation and achieving efficient H 2 O 2 production. We report that redox cocatalysts are spatially separated on a two-dimensional (2D) photocatalyst, which opens an approach for achieving both efficient oxidation and reduction reactions on 2D photocatalysts.

  77. 78
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    Prevalence of neural collapse during the terminal phase of deep learning training

    Vardan Papyan, X. Y. Han, David L. Donoho

    401 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2015509117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    (NC), involving four deeply interconnected phenomena. (NC1) Cross-example within-class variability of last-layer training activations collapses to zero, as the individual activations themselves collapse to their class means. (NC2) The class means collapse to the vertices of a simplex equiangular tight frame (ETF). (NC3) Up to rescaling, the last-layer classifiers collapse to the class means or in other words, to the simplex ETF (i.e., to a self-dual configuration). (NC4) For a given activation, the classifier's decision collapses to simply choosing whichever class has the closest train class mean (i.e., the nearest class center [NCC] decision rule). The symmetric and very simple geometry induced by the TPT confers important benefits, including better generalization performance, better robustness, and better interpretability.

  78. 79
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    Systemic complement activation is associated with respiratory failure in COVID-19 hospitalized patients

    Jan Cato Holter, Søren Erik Pischke, Eline de Boer, Andreas Lind, Synne Jenum and 25 more

    396 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2010540117OpenAlex

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    Significance The new SARS-CoV-2 pandemic leads to COVID-19 with respiratory failure, substantial morbidity, and significant mortality. Overactivation of the innate immune response is postulated to trigger this detrimental process. The complement system is a key player in innate immunity. Despite a few reports of local complement activation, there is a lack of evidence that the degree of systemic complement activation occurs early in COVID-19 patients, and whether this is associated with respiratory failure. This study shows that a number of complement activation products are systemically, consistently, and long-lastingly increased from admission and during the hospital stay. Notably, the terminal sC5b-9 complement complex was associated with respiratory failure. Thus, complement inhibition is an attractive therapeutic approach for treatment of COVD-19.

  79. 80
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    Superhydrophobic photothermal icephobic surfaces based on candle soot

    Shuwang Wu, Yingjie Du, Yousif Alsaid, Dong Wu, Mutian Hua and 5 more

    396 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2001972117OpenAlex

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    Ice accumulation causes various problems in our daily life for human society. The daunting challenges in ice prevention and removal call for novel efficient antiicing strategies. Recently, photothermal materials have gained attention for creating icephobic surfaces owing to their merits of energy conservation and environmental friendliness. However, it is always challenging to get an ideal photothermal material which is cheap, easily fabricating, and highly photothermally efficient. Here, we demonstrate a low-cost, high-efficiency superhydrophobic photothermal surface, uniquely based on inexpensive commonly seen candle soot. It consists of three components: candle soot, silica shell, and polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) brushes. The candle soot provides hierarchical nano/microstructures and photothermal ability, the silica shell strengthens the hierarchical candle soot, and the grafted low-surface-energy PDMS brushes endow the surface with superhydrophobicity. Upon illumination under 1 sun, the surface temperature can increase by 53 °C, so that no ice can form at an environmental…

  80. 81
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    Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on rural America

    J. Tom Mueller, Kathryn McConnell, Paul Berne Burow, Katie Pofahl, Alexis A. Merdjanoff and 1 more

    392 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2019378118OpenAlex

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    Despite considerable social scientific attention to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on urbanized areas, very little research has examined its impact on rural populations. Yet rural communities-which make up tens of millions of people from diverse backgrounds in the United States-are among the nation's most vulnerable populations and may be less resilient to the effects of such a large-scale exogenous shock. We address this critical knowledge gap with data from a new survey designed to assess the impacts of the pandemic on health-related and economic dimensions of rural well-being in the North American West. Notably, we find that the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on rural populations have been severe, with significant negative impacts on unemployment, overall life satisfaction, mental health, and economic outlook. Further, we find that these impacts have been generally consistent across age, ethnicity, education, and sex. We discuss how these findings constitute the beginning of a much larger interdisciplinary COVID-19 research effort that integrates rural areas and pushes…

  81. 82
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    Superantigenic character of an insert unique to SARS-CoV-2 spike supported by skewed TCR repertoire in patients with hyperinflammation

    Mary Hongying Cheng, She Zhang, Rebecca A. Porritt, Magali Noval Rivas, Lisa Paschold and 4 more

    392 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2010722117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) associated with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a newly recognized condition in which children with recent SARS-CoV-2 infection present with a constellation of symptoms including hypotension, multiorgan involvement, and elevated inflammatory markers. These symptoms and the associated laboratory values strongly resemble toxic shock syndrome, an escalation of the cytotoxic adaptive immune response triggered upon the binding of pathogenic superantigens to MHCII molecules and T cell receptors (TCRs). Here, we used structure-based computational models to demonstrate that the SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) exhibits a high-affinity motif for binding TCR, interacting closely with both the α- and β-chains variable domains’ complementarity-determining regions. The binding epitope on S harbors a sequence motif unique to SARS-CoV-2 (not present in any other SARS coronavirus), which is highly similar in both sequence and structure to bacterial superantigens. Further examination revealed that this interaction between the virus and human T cells…

  82. 83
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    Instant tough bioadhesive with triggerable benign detachment

    Xiaoyu Chen, Hyunwoo Yuk, Jingjing Wu, Christoph S. Nabzdyk, Xuanhe Zhao

    392 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2006389117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Bioadhesives such as tissue adhesives, hemostatic agents, and tissue sealants have potential advantages over sutures and staples for wound closure, hemostasis, and integration of implantable devices onto wet tissues. However, existing bioadhesives display several limitations including slow adhesion formation, weak bonding, low biocompatibility, poor mechanical match with tissues, and/or lack of triggerable benign detachment. Here, we report a bioadhesive that can form instant tough adhesion on various wet dynamic tissues and can be benignly detached from the adhered tissues on demand with a biocompatible triggering solution. The adhesion of the bioadhesive relies on the removal of interfacial water from the tissue surface, followed by physical and covalent cross-linking with the tissue surface. The triggerable detachment of the bioadhesive results from the cleavage of bioadhesive's cross-links with the tissue surface by the triggering solution. After it is adhered to wet tissues, the bioadhesive becomes a tough hydrogel with mechanical compliance and stretchability comparable with…

  83. 84
    top 2.1%

    Viral zoonotic risk is homogenous among taxonomic orders of mammalian and avian reservoir hosts

    Nardus Mollentze, Daniel G. Streicker

    387 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1919176117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The notion that certain animal groups disproportionately maintain and transmit viruses to humans due to broad-scale differences in ecology, life history, and physiology currently influences global health surveillance and research in disease ecology, virology, and immunology. To directly test whether such "special reservoirs" of zoonoses exist, we used literature searches to construct the largest existing dataset of virus-reservoir relationships, consisting of the avian and mammalian reservoir hosts of 415 RNA and DNA viruses along with their histories of human infection. Reservoir host effects on the propensity of viruses to have been reported as infecting humans were rare and when present were restricted to one or two viral families. The data instead support a largely host-neutral explanation for the distribution of human-infecting viruses across the animal orders studied. After controlling for higher baseline viral richness in mammals versus birds, the observed number of zoonoses per animal order increased as a function of their species richness. Animal orders of established…

  84. 85
    top 2.1%

    A new malaria vector in Africa: Predicting the expansion range of Anopheles stephensi and identifying the urban populations at risk

    Marianne E Sinka, Samuel Pironon, N. Claire Massey, Joshua Longbottom, Janet Hemingway and 2 more

    385 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2003976117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Significance In 2012, an unusual outbreak of malaria occurred in Djibouti City followed by increasingly severe annual outbreaks. Investigations revealed the presence of an Asian mosquito species; Anopheles stephensi , which thrives in urban environments. An. stephensi has since been identified in Ethiopia and Sudan. By combining data for An. stephensi across its full range (Asia, Arabian Peninsula, Horn of Africa) with spatial models that identify the species’ preferred habitat, we provide evidence-based maps predicting the possible African locations where An. stephensi could establish if allowed to spread. Our results suggest over 126 million people in cities across Africa could be at risk. This supports the WHO’s call for targeted An. stephensi control and prioritized surveillance.

  85. 86
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    COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks

    Frank Schlosser, Benjamin F. Maier, Olivia Jack, David Hinrichs, Adrian Zachariae and 1 more

    380 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2012326117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused deeper structural changes in mobility networks and how such changes may affect dynamic processes on the network. Here we use movement data of mobile phone users to show that mobility in Germany has not only been reduced considerably: Lockdown measures caused substantial and long-lasting structural changes in the mobility network. We find that long-distance travel was reduced disproportionately strongly. The trimming of long-range network connectivity leads to a more local, clustered network and a moderation of the "small-world" effect. We demonstrate that these structural changes have a considerable effect on epidemic spreading processes by "flattening" the epidemic curve and delaying the spread to geographically distant regions.

  86. 87
    top 2.2%

    TDP-43 α-helical structure tunes liquid–liquid phase separation and function

    Alexander E. Conicella, Gregory L. Dignon, Gül H. Zerze, Hermann Broder Schmidt, Alexandra M. D’Ordine and 5 more

    376 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1912055117OpenAlex

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    Liquid-liquid phase separation (LLPS) is involved in the formation of membraneless organelles (MLOs) associated with RNA processing. The RNA-binding protein TDP-43 is present in several MLOs, undergoes LLPS, and has been linked to the pathogenesis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). While some ALS-associated mutations in TDP-43 disrupt self-interaction and function, here we show that designed single mutations can enhance TDP-43 assembly and function via modulating helical structure. Using molecular simulation and NMR spectroscopy, we observe large structural changes upon dimerization of TDP-43. Two conserved glycine residues (G335 and G338) are potent inhibitors of helical extension and helix-helix interaction, which are removed in part by variants at these positions, including the ALS-associated G335D. Substitution to helix-enhancing alanine at either of these positions dramatically enhances phase separation in vitro and decreases fluidity of phase-separated TDP-43 reporter compartments in cells. Furthermore, G335A increases TDP-43 splicing function in a minigene assay.…

  87. 88
    top 2.2%

    Bioinspired underwater locomotion of light-driven liquid crystal gels

    Hamed Shahsavan, Amirreza Aghakhani, Hao Zeng, Yubing Guo, Zoey S. Davidson and 2 more

    374 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1917952117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Soft-bodied aquatic invertebrates, such as sea slugs and snails, are capable of diverse locomotion modes under water. Recapitulation of such multimodal aquatic locomotion in small-scale soft robots is challenging, due to difficulties in precise spatiotemporal control of deformations and inefficient underwater actuation of existing stimuli-responsive materials. Solving this challenge and devising efficient untethered manipulation of soft stimuli-responsive materials in the aquatic environment would significantly broaden their application potential in biomedical devices. We mimic locomotion modes common to sea invertebrates using monolithic liquid crystal gels (LCGs) with inherent light responsiveness and molecular anisotropy. We elicit diverse underwater locomotion modes, such as crawling, walking, jumping, and swimming, by local deformations induced by selective spatiotemporal light illumination. Our results underpin the pivotal role of the physicomechanical properties of LCGs in the realization of diverse modes of light-driven robotic underwater locomotion. We envisage that our…

  88. 89
    top 2.2%

    In situ sprayed NIR-responsive, analgesic black phosphorus-based gel for diabetic ulcer treatment

    Jiang Ouyang, Xiaoyuan Ji, Xingcai Zhang, Chan Feng, Zhongmin Tang and 9 more

    371 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2016268117OpenAlex

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    The treatment of diabetic ulcer (DU) remains a major clinical challenge due to the complex wound-healing milieu that features chronic wounds, impaired angiogenesis, persistent pain, bacterial infection, and exacerbated inflammation. A strategy that effectively targets all these issues has proven elusive. Herein, we use a smart black phosphorus (BP)-based gel with the characteristics of rapid formation and near-infrared light (NIR) responsiveness to address these problems. The in situ sprayed BP-based gel could act as 1) a temporary, biomimetic "skin" to temporarily shield the tissue from the external environment and accelerate chronic wound healing by promoting the proliferation of endothelial cells, vascularization, and angiogenesis and 2) a drug "reservoir" to store therapeutic BP and pain-relieving lidocaine hydrochloride (Lid). Within several minutes of NIR laser irradiation, the BP-based gel generates local heat to accelerate microcirculatory blood flow, mediate the release of loaded Lid for "on-demand" pain relief, eliminate bacteria, and reduce inflammation. Therefore, our…

  89. 90
    top 2.2%

    Overstated carbon emission reductions from voluntary REDD+ projects in the Brazilian Amazon

    Thales A. P. West, Jan Börner, Erin O. Sills, Andreas V. Kontoleon

    371 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2004334117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+) has gained international attention over the past decade, as manifested in both United Nations policy discussions and hundreds of voluntary projects launched to earn carbon-offset credits. There are ongoing discussions about whether and how projects should be integrated into national climate change mitigation efforts under the Paris Agreement. One consideration is whether these projects have generated additional impacts over and above national policies and other measures. To help inform these discussions, we compare the crediting baselines established ex-ante by voluntary REDD+ projects in the Brazilian Amazon to counterfactuals constructed ex-post based on the quasi-experimental synthetic control method. We find that the crediting baselines assume consistently higher deforestation than counterfactual forest loss in synthetic control sites. This gap is partially due to decreased deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon during the early implementation phase of the REDD+ projects considered here. This suggests that…

  90. 91
    top 2.3%

    Understanding the role of individual units in a deep neural network

    David Bau, Jun-Yan Zhu, Hendrik Strobelt, Àgata Lapedriza, Bolei Zhou and 1 more

    371 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1907375117OpenAlex

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    Deep neural networks excel at finding hierarchical representations that solve complex tasks over large datasets. How can we humans understand these learned representations? In this work, we present network dissection, an analytic framework to systematically identify the semantics of individual hidden units within image classification and image generation networks. First, we analyze a convolutional neural network (CNN) trained on scene classification and discover units that match a diverse set of object concepts. We find evidence that the network has learned many object classes that play crucial roles in classifying scene classes. Second, we use a similar analytic method to analyze a generative adversarial network (GAN) model trained to generate scenes. By analyzing changes made when small sets of units are activated or deactivated, we find that objects can be added and removed from the output scenes while adapting to the context. Finally, we apply our analytic framework to understanding adversarial attacks and to semantic image editing.

  91. 92
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    Widespread occurrence of the droplet state of proteins in the human proteome

    Maarten C. Hardenberg, Attila Horváth, Viktor Ambrus, Mónika Fuxreiter, Michele Vendruscolo

    369 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.2007670117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Abstract A wide range of proteins have been reported to condensate into a dense liquid phase, forming a reversible droplet state. Failure in the control of the droplet state can lead to the formation of the more stable amyloid state, which is often disease-related. These observations prompt the question of how many proteins can undergo liquid-liquid phase separation. Here, in order to address this problem, we discuss the biophysical principles underlying the droplet state of proteins by analyzing current evidence for droplet-driver and droplet-client proteins. Based on the concept that the droplet state is stabilized by the large conformational entropy associated with non-specific side-chain interactions, we develop the FuzDrop method to predict droplet-promoting regions and proteins, which can spontaneously phase separate. We use this approach to carry out a proteome-level study to rank proteins according to their propensity to form the droplet state, spontaneously or via partner interactions. Our results lead to the conclusion that the droplet state could be, at least transiently,…

  92. 93
    top 2.3%

    The carbon footprint of household energy use in the United States

    Benjamin P. Goldstein, Dimitrios Gounaridis, Joshua P. Newell

    367 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1922205117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Residential energy use accounts for roughly 20% of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the United States. Using data on 93 million individual households, we estimate these GHGs across the contiguous United States and clarify the respective influence of climate, affluence, energy infrastructure, urban form, and building attributes (age, housing type, heating fuel) in driving these emissions. A ranking by state reveals that GHGs (per unit floor space) are lowest in Western US states and highest in Central states. Wealthier Americans have per capita footprints ∼25% higher than those of lower-income residents, primarily due to larger homes. In especially affluent suburbs, these emissions can be 15 times higher than nearby neighborhoods. If the electrical grid is decarbonized, then the residential housing sector can meet the 28% emission reduction target for 2025 under the Paris Agreement. However, grid decarbonization will be insufficient to meet the 80% emissions reduction target for 2050 due to a growing housing stock and continued use of fossil fuels (natural gas, propane, and fuel…

  93. 94
    top 2.3%

    Noninvasive hippocampal blood−brain barrier opening in Alzheimer’s disease with focused ultrasound

    Ali R. Rezai, Manish Ranjan, Pierre-François D’Haese, Marc W. Haut, Jeffrey Carpenter and 7 more

    365 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2002571117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The blood-brain barrier (BBB) presents a significant challenge for treating brain disorders. The hippocampus is a key target for novel therapeutics, playing an important role in Alzheimer's disease (AD), epilepsy, and depression. Preclinical studies have shown that magnetic resonance (MR)-guided low-intensity focused ultrasound (FUS) can reversibly open the BBB and facilitate delivery of targeted brain therapeutics. We report initial clinical trial results evaluating the safety, feasibility, and reversibility of BBB opening with FUS treatment of the hippocampus and entorhinal cortex (EC) in patients with early AD. Six subjects tolerated a total of 17 FUS treatments with no adverse events and neither cognitive nor neurological worsening. Post-FUS contrast MRI revealed immediate and sizable hippocampal parenchymal enhancement indicating BBB opening, followed by BBB closure within 24 h. The average opening was 95% of the targeted FUS volume, which corresponds to 29% of the overall hippocampus volume. We demonstrate that FUS can safely, noninvasively, transiently, reproducibly, and…

  94. 95
    top 2.4%

    Molecular adaptations of the blood–brain barrier promote stress resilience vs. depression

    Katarzyna Dudek, Laurence Dion‐Albert, Manon Lebel, Katherine B. LeClair, Simon Labrecque and 8 more

    361 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.1914655117OpenAlex

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    Significance Thirty to fifty percent of depressed individuals are unresponsive to commonly prescribed antidepressant treatments, suggesting that biological mechanisms, such as stress-induced inflammation and blood vessel dysfunction, remain untreated. The blood–brain barrier is the ultimate frontier between the brain and harmful toxins or inflammatory signals circulating in the blood. Depression and vulnerability to chronic social stress are associated with loss of this barrier integrity; however, the mechanisms involved remain poorly understood. Identification of adaptations leading to resilience under stressful conditions could help develop novel treatments. Here we combined behavioral, pharmacological, and cell-specific gene profiling experiments in mice with epigenetic, molecular, and anatomical analysis of human samples to unravel mechanisms with therapeutic potential to protect the brain and promote resilience.

  95. 96
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    Tracking the reach of COVID-19 kin loss with a bereavement multiplier applied to the United States

    Ashton M. Verdery, Emily Smith‐Greenaway, Rachel Margolis, Jonathan Daw

    360 citationsOpen access (CC-BY)doi:10.1073/pnas.2007476117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to a large increase in mortality in the United States and around the world, leaving many grieving the sudden loss of family members. We created an indicator-the COVID-19 bereavement multiplier-that estimates the average number of individuals who will experience the death of a close relative (defined as a grandparent, parent, sibling, spouse, or child) for each COVID-19 death. Using demographic microsimulation-based estimates of kinship networks in the United States, the clear age gradient in COVID-19 mortality seen across contexts, and several hypothetical infection prevalence scenarios, we estimate COVID-19 bereavement multipliers for White and Black individuals in the United States. Our analysis shows that for every COVID-19 death, approximately nine surviving Americans will lose a grandparent, parent, sibling, spouse, or child. These estimates imply, for example, that if 190,000 Americans die from COVID-19, as some models project, then ∼1.7 million will experience the death of a close relative. We demonstrate that our…

  96. 97
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    Most invasive species largely conserve their climatic niche

    Chunlong Liu, Christian Wolter, Weiwei Xian, Jonathan M. Jeschke

    359 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.2004289117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    The ecological niche is a key concept for elucidating patterns of species distributions and developing strategies for conserving biodiversity. However, recent times are seeing a widespread debate whether species niches are conserved across space and time (niche conservatism hypothesis). Biological invasions represent a unique opportunity to test this hypothesis in a short time frame at the global scale. We synthesized empirical findings for 434 invasive species from 86 studies to assess whether invasive species conserve their climatic niche between native and introduced ranges. Although the niche conservatism hypothesis was rejected in most studies, highly contrasting conclusions for the same species between and within studies suggest that the dichotomous conclusions of these studies were sensitive to techniques, assessment criteria, or author preferences. We performed a consistent quantitative analysis of the dynamics between native and introduced climatic niches reported by previous studies. Our results show there is very limited niche expansion between native and introduced…

  97. 98
    top 2.4%

    Split-TurboID enables contact-dependent proximity labeling in cells

    Kelvin Frank Cho, Tess Caroline Branon, Sanjana Rajeev, Tanya Svinkina, Namrata D. Udeshi and 6 more

    358 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1919528117OpenAlex

    Show abstract

    Proximity labeling catalyzed by promiscuous enzymes, such as TurboID, have enabled the proteomic analysis of subcellular regions difficult or impossible to access by conventional fractionation-based approaches. Yet some cellular regions, such as organelle contact sites, remain out of reach for current PL methods. To address this limitation, we split the enzyme TurboID into two inactive fragments that recombine when driven together by a protein-protein interaction or membrane-membrane apposition. At endoplasmic reticulum-mitochondria contact sites, reconstituted TurboID catalyzed spatially restricted biotinylation, enabling the enrichment and identification of >100 endogenous proteins, including many not previously linked to endoplasmic reticulum-mitochondria contacts. We validated eight candidates by biochemical fractionation and overexpression imaging. Overall, split-TurboID is a versatile tool for conditional and spatially specific proximity labeling in cells.

  98. 99
    top 2.5%

    Extraction of mechanical properties of materials through deep learning from instrumented indentation

    Lu Lu, Ming Dao, Punit Kumar, Upadrasta Ramamurty, George Em Karniadakis and 1 more

    353 citationsOpen access (CC-BY-NC-ND)doi:10.1073/pnas.1922210117OpenAlex

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    Instrumented indentation has been developed and widely utilized as one of the most versatile and practical means of extracting mechanical properties of materials. This method is particularly desirable for those applications where it is difficult to experimentally determine the mechanical properties using stress-strain data obtained from coupon specimens. Such applications include material processing and manufacturing of small and large engineering components and structures involving the following: three-dimensional (3D) printing, thin-film and multilayered structures, and integrated manufacturing of materials for coupled mechanical and functional properties. Here, we utilize the latest developments in neural networks, including a multifidelity approach whereby deep-learning algorithms are trained to extract elastoplastic properties of metals and alloys from instrumented indentation results using multiple datasets for desired levels of improved accuracy. We have established algorithms for solving inverse problems by recourse to single, dual, and multiple indentation and demonstrate…

  99. 100
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    The unreasonable effectiveness of deep learning in artificial intelligence

    Terrence J. Sejnowski A B

    352 citationsOpen accessdoi:10.1073/pnas.1907373117OpenAlex

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    Deep learning networks have been trained to recognize speech, caption photographs, and translate text between languages at high levels of performance. Although applications of deep learning networks to real-world problems have become ubiquitous, our understanding of why they are so effective is lacking. These empirical results should not be possible according to sample complexity in statistics and nonconvex optimization theory. However, paradoxes in the training and effectiveness of deep learning networks are being investigated and insights are being found in the geometry of high-dimensional spaces. A mathematical theory of deep learning would illuminate how they function, allow us to assess the strengths and weaknesses of different network architectures, and lead to major improvements. Deep learning has provided natural ways for humans to communicate with digital devices and is foundational for building artificial general intelligence. Deep learning was inspired by the architecture of the cerebral cortex and insights into autonomy and general intelligence may be found in other…

How to read this list

The cohort is every article, review and book chapter OpenAlex attributes to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences with publication year 2020, excluding retracted works and paratext such as editorials and errata. The top 100 by citation count are listed; the percentile is the rank divided by the cohort size. 99 of the 100 entries have an abstract in OpenAlex. Counts were read on 29 October 2026 and will not be updated on this page, so a quoted rank stays verifiable. Full rules on the methodology page.

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